Two division leaders within the AFC South face off on Sunday evening, as Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs host Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee has received its final 5 matchups, though that winning-streak may be very a lot in peril. Not solely are the Chiefs at residence in primetime coming off of the bye week, however Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill is questionable to play because of an ankle damage.
Henry carried the Titans to victory over the Houston Texans final week with 219 speeding yards and two touchdowns, and whereas he has rushed for over 150 yards in two of 5 profession video games vs. the Chiefs, Kansas Metropolis at present has the third-best run protection within the league, permitting a median of 92 speeding yards per recreation.
The Chiefs’ final outing was a powerful one, as they blew out the San Francisco 49ers in The Bay, 44-23. Mahomes threw for 423 yards, three touchdowns and one interception, and Kansas Metropolis’s new-look vast receiving corps lastly put collectively a powerful displaying, as JuJu Smith-Schuster caught seven passes for 124 yards and one landing, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling caught three passes for 111 yards.
Under, we’ll break down this matchup from a playing perspective and look at the road motion, Over/Beneath and participant props to contemplate. First, here is how one can watch Monday’s matchup.
All NFL odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook.
Tips on how to watch
Date: Sunday, Nov. 6 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas Metropolis, MO)
TV: NBC| Stream: fuboTV (click here)
Comply with: CBS Sports App
Odds: Chiefs -12.5, O/U 46
Harm report
Tannehill was in a position to apply in restricted trend on Friday however head coach Mike Vrabel famous that the quarterback might be a game-time decision. Tannehill suffered an ankle damage in Week 7 and missed Tennessee’s 17-10 win over the Texans. If he can’t go, that will thrust rookie Malik Willis into his second profession begin. Derrick Henry, who was held out of Thursday’s apply, was again as a full participant on Friday and carries no designation.
Kansas Metropolis is remarkably wholesome heading into Sunday evening’s showdown with Tennessee. Jody Fortson is the lone participant listed on the ultimate damage report as each different participant was in a position to apply totally.
Line motion
Newest Odds:
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
-12.5
This line reopened at KC -10.5 on Tuesday, Oct. 25. It obtained a full-point bump to KC -11.5 final Sunday, however ended the day at KC -11. Monday, it started to climb once more, ending Halloween at KC -12.5.
The choose: Chiefs -12.5. Early within the week, I used to be fairly offered on taking the Titans to cowl the big quantity, however I believed Tannehill can be one hundred pc able to go at this level. Tannehill is a troublesome son of a gun. I did not suppose he ought to have returned after being injured vs. the Indianapolis Colts a pair weeks in the past, and he might barely transfer round after the snap. It would not shock me if Tannehill performs Sunday evening, however I do not see how he will be as efficient with this ankle damage — particularly contemplating the vast receiving corps he is working with.
If the rookie Malik Willis begins once more, he will certainly convey eyes to the printed, however the Titans’ probabilities of profitable the sport and/or overlaying the unfold go down. He is an intriguing dual-threat quarterback, however wants a while to develop. The third-round select of Liberty struggled towards the Texans, finishing 6 of 10 move makes an attempt for 55 yards and one interception. The Titans did not even have him try a move within the third quarter final week. He is simply somebody that wants a while to develop.
The Titans are a group that is dwell to win any given Sunday, however all of us noticed what occurred after they confronted a loaded offense on the highway in primetime earlier this yr towards the Buffalo Bills. It is arduous to not take the Chiefs on this spot.
Over/Beneath 46
The overall opened at 47 on Tuesday, Oct. 25. Final Wednesday, it was bumped as much as 47.5, however fell to 46.5 on Sunday evening. This Thursday, it fell all the way in which to 45. From there, it started to rise, hitting 46 on Friday.
The choose: Beneath 46. The overall shouldn’t be one thing I am desirous to gamble on with quarterback uncertainty and Chiefs blowout potential. The Titans are 2-5 to the Over whereas the Chiefs are 4-3. Tennessee is 1-3 to the Over this yr when the road is between 45 and 48 factors, and the Chiefs are 1-2 to the Over when the road is between 45 to 48 factors. I am simply going to lean to the Beneath.
Patrick Mahomes props
Passing touchdowns: 2.5 (Over +114, Beneath -157)
Passing yards: 277.5 (Over -117, Beneath -117)
Passing makes an attempt: 36.5 (Over -121, Beneath -113)
Passing completions: 25.5 (Over -101, Beneath -135)
Longest passing completion: 38.5 (Over -113, Beneath -121)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +108, Beneath -148)
Speeding yards: 19.5 (Over -121, Beneath -113)
Mahomes has thrown no less than three touchdowns in 4 of seven video games performed this season. A blowout might damage the Over, however I will wager it at plus cash. I haven’t got an excellent learn on his passing yards, however the lean is to the Over. I’ll say I just like the Beneath on Mahomes’ passing makes an attempt, and I additionally will wager him to throw an interception at plus cash.
Participant props
Harrison Butker made additional factors: Over 2.5 (-160). Clearly juicy, however throw it right into a same-game parlay. This prop is “will the Chiefs rating three touchdowns the place they do not must go for 2 factors.” Butker has performed in simply three video games this season, however has made no less than 4 additional factors in two of them. He went an unbelievable 6 of 6 on additional factors in Kansas Metropolis’s final outing towards San Francisco.
Isiah Pacheco speeding makes an attempt: Over 9.5 (+114). The rookie Pacheco acquired his first profession begin within the Chiefs’ final recreation, however he rushed simply eight instances for 43 yards. Nonetheless, he is cleared 10 carries twice this season, and if this can be a blowout, I like his possibilities to go Over.
